HVV Helmond vs Sparta '25 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVV Helmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HVC
4 - 1
HVV
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HVV
4 - 0
LHC
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 3
HVV
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta '25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
OSS
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
HVC
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LHC
0 - 1
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OSS
2 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 1
LHC
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |