HVCH vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
16º
46
4º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 1
HVC
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DON
3 - 0
HVC
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HVC
1 - 2
WIT
34%
22%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
HVC
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HVC
2 - 2
JUL
21%
20%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 1
ACH
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 1
VEN
24%
23%
52%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
VEN
27%
19%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
4 - 2
NEM
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NUE
0 - 1
VEN
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |