HVCH vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
16º
41
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
RKV
4 - 1
HVC
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HVC
3 - 6
EVV
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HVC
1 - 2
ACH
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
HVC
59%
19%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 0
NEM
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
UNI
51%
20%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 3
ORI
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 3
NUE
48%
22%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
ORI
32%
22%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 1
VEN
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |