HVCH vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
10º
40
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
HVC
0 - 3
KAM
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 2
HVC
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HVC
1 - 0
NUE
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JUL
1 - 1
HVC
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HVC
0 - 3
LON
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ORI
4 - 3
MOE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KAM
3 - 2
ORI
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
EVV
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
4 - 1
HOO
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
ORI
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |