HVCH vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HVC
1 - 2
WOE
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RKV
3 - 0
HVC
39%
23%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HVC
2 - 2
UNI
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HVC
1 - 1
ALV
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NEM
1 - 2
HVC
59%
20%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TOP
3 - 2
SVL
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SVL
1 - 1
EAV
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SVL
4 - 1
RRH
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TZA
1 - 1
SVL
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SVL
2 - 1
ERP
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |