HVCH vs EVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
10º
34
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MOE
2 - 3
HVC
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HVC
2 - 1
HOO
30%
24%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
HVC
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
TOP
4 - 1
HVC
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EFC
2 - 2
HVC
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EVV
0 - 0
KAM
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 1
EVV
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EVV
1 - 1
NUE
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
DON
0 - 2
EVV
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
EVV
1 - 0
HOL
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |