HVCH vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
16º
57
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VEE
1 - 2
HVC
17%
18%
66%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VEN
7 - 3
HVC
66%
17%
16%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HVC
0 - 4
SIL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RKZ
0 - 5
HVC
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HVC
0 - 2
MEE
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
GVV
1 - 3
DON
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
DON
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DON
2 - 1
GEM
28%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |