HVCH vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NEM
0 - 2
HVC
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HVC
3 - 1
FCT
82%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VVO
0 - 0
HVC
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
HVC
1 - 1
RKS
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AWC
0 - 1
HVC
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALV
5 - 6
VVO
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALV
0 - 1
GES
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TOP
0 - 0
ALV
19%
22%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 0
DOS
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 3
NEC
6%
14%
80%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |