HVC '10 vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVC '10
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GHC
5 - 1
HVC
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HVC
1 - 1
ARC
37%
22%
40%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DSO
1 - 1
HVC
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HVC
1 - 1
ZWA
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
HVC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 2
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 1
DEL
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FSP
0 - 4
SWI
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 0
HBO
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 0
VOO
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |