Hürth vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
13º
55
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
43% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 3
MER
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PES
1 - 1
HUR
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
KON
29%
22%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TWE
4 - 1
HUR
43%
22%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 1
WEG
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 4
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KON
0 - 2
SIE
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 3
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
SIE
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
SCF
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |