Hürth vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
11º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 0
HUR
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 1
HUR
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HUR
4 - 1
GET
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
USC
1 - 2
HUR
47%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
HUR
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 2
GET
78%
13%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
SCF
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SVE
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
SCF
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
H05
0 - 5
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |