Hürth vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
5 - 2
HUR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HUR
3 - 1
SVD
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 2
PES
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALT
3 - 2
HUR
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
BER
3 - 0
HUR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 2
H05
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VFL
3 - 0
SCF
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
4 - 0
SCF
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVD
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SCF
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |