Huragan Morag vs Start Działdowo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VWP
1 - 2
HUR
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 0
OLI
61%
21%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 0
COP
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 2
ZBP
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HUR
5 - 2
KOR
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Start Działdowo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SDZ
1 - 1
WIS
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DAB
0 - 2
SDZ
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SDZ
5 - 0
CON
27%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PMP
1 - 1
SDZ
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SDZ
1 - 0
WAG
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |