Huracan Vila Real A vs Alqueries B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huracan Vila Real A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HVR
0 - 3
JER
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HVR
2 - 4
LLO
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
HVR
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alqueries B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
ALQ
1 - 2
ALM
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 5
ALQ
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALQ
4 - 1
RIB
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
QUA
2 - 0
ALQ
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALQ
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |