Huntly vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
8º
17º
9º
36
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huntly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HUN
0 - 1
BRE
7%
16%
77%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 0
KEI
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 1
LOS
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 0
HUN
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 1
BUC
5%
12%
83%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLA
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAN
19%
18%
62%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLA
2 - 0
FOR
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |