Hungría U21 vs Gales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungría U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
BIH
0 - 2
HUN
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
HUN
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
HUN
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
ITA
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
4 - 1
HUN
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
MLT
1 - 1
WAL
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
AUT
1 - 0
WAL
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
WAL
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 0
BIH
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |