Hunan Billows FC vs Ganzhou Ruishi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
8º
5º
13
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
HBF
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
4 - 1
HBF
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 5
QYF
43%
23%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HBF
2 - 5
YUN
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
HBF
0 - 1
HEN
9%
19%
72%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ganzhou Ruishi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SSP
1 - 6
YUN
72%
16%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HSF
0 - 0
SSP
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SSP
0 - 2
GUA
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SSP
1 - 0
JIA
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
QYF
2 - 0
SSP
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |