Hume City FC vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+144%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
7º
5º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HUM
0 - 2
OAK
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
HUM
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 2
HEU
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MNG
1 - 3
HUM
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HUM
0 - 0
DAC
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MCF
4 - 0
DAN
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 3
MEL
30%
23%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 0
STA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 8
AVH
11%
19%
71%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
DAN
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |