Hume City FC vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 2
HUM
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
4 - 2
HUM
28%
24%
47%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
HUM
0 - 2
OAK
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 1
HUM
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
HUM
1 - 2
BEN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAN
4 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OAK
1 - 1
DAN
46%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 1
SOU
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
MEL
57%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 1
DAN
42%
24%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |