Humble Lions vs UWI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BOY
1 - 2
LIO
43%
29%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LIO
0 - 1
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LIO
4 - 0
TRI
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MAG
0 - 0
LIO
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UWI
1 - 1
WAT
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
UWI
0 - 2
POR
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
UWI
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
UWI
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
UWI
0 - 0
MON
54%
27%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |