Humble Lions vs Savannah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
5 - 1
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 0
HAR
31%
30%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
LIO
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 2
ARN
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
LIO
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Savannah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 2
WAT
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 3
CAV
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
7 - 0
SAV
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 5
POR
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |