Humble Lions vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
LIO
40%
31%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 1
TRI
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
BOY
32%
29%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 2
LIO
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 3
LIO
36%
29%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 0
TRI
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 0
CAV
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 2
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
ARN
1 - 0
CAV
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 1
SPO
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |