Huachipato vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 1
NUB
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 4
HUA
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
HUA
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 0
LOT
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
LOT
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
4 - 3
IBE
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |