Hannoverscher vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
12º
18º
12º
24
6º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannoverscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
HSC
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 3
HSC
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HSC
1 - 4
RAE
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HSC
0 - 2
SCH
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HSC
2 - 1
TSV
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BWP
4 - 1
AHA
51%
21%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BWP
0 - 1
LUP
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BWP
2 - 0
LSK
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 0
BWP
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AHA
1 - 3
BWP
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |