HSC 21 vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USV
2 - 1
HSC
36%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 2
HSC
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HSC
3 - 3
DEM
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 0
HSC
46%
23%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HSC
0 - 4
OOS
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
DEM
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
3 - 2
BLA
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADO
1 - 1
OSS
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
OSS
4 - 2
GEM
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 1
OSS
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |