HSC 21 vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HSC
0 - 1
MHE
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
HSC
1 - 2
GEM
62%
20%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 2
HSC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 0
VVS
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TOG
1 - 1
HSC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BVO
4 - 0
HAR
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
VVO
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
HAR
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
SPA
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
HAR
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |