HSC 21 vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 2
HSC
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FVC
0 - 2
HSC
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
HSC
3 - 1
HOO
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
BEQ
1 - 2
HSC
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
HSC
2 - 0
BAB
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
RBC
1 - 0
GAE
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GAE
1 - 2
BVO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
GAE
2 - 0
HEL
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 2
GAE
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
BVV
1 - 4
GAE
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |