HSC 21 vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VVS
2 - 0
HSC
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 8
HSC
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
HSC
0 - 2
LIE
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DET
2 - 1
HSC
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HSC
2 - 2
AFC
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 3
DVS
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 0
CAP
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
KOZ
2 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
LIS
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 3
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |