HSC 21 vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HSC
5 - 1
FVC
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HOO
1 - 5
HSC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HSC
3 - 2
RKH
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BEQ
2 - 0
HSC
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HSC
4 - 1
MSC
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 2
HOO
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BAB
2 - 4
ALC
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
BEQ
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
RKH
1 - 3
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MSC
1 - 1
ALC
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |