HSC 21 vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
DET
1 - 1
HSC
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NIE
1 - 1
HSC
24%
24%
53%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ROH
0 - 0
HSC
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
HSC
0 - 3
QUI
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HSC
0 - 1
WKE
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
BEQ
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 2
LIE
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACH
2 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
4 - 1
SWZ
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 0
NIE
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |