Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
HNG
0 - 0
HDR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
HDR
2 - 1
MOS
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HAS
1 - 2
HDR
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
HDR
1 - 1
NKC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
POM
3 - 2
HDR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
NKD
16%
24%
60%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
SOL
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
IMO
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
NKR
21%
24%
56%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |