Hřebeč vs Karlovy Vary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
61.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
15º
42
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 66 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
67% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 32 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 27 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 24 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
88% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hřebeč
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HRE
0 - 5
TEP
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 1
HRE
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SKS
3 - 1
HRE
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HRE
4 - 3
UNL
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
2 - 0
HRE
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Karlovy Vary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
KAR
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 0
KAR
20%
18%
62%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
NER
65%
18%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
5 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 2
UJE
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |