Hranice vs Karviná II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
18º
16º
53
1º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hranice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HOD
2 - 0
HRA
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
HRA
3 - 2
FRY
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRY
2 - 3
HRA
48%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
HRA
2 - 1
TRI
13%
20%
68%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BOI
1 - 0
HRA
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Karviná II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 1
TBB
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TJS
2 - 3
MFK
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 1
HLU
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZLI
1 - 1
MFK
33%
24%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFK
1 - 1
SLO
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |