La Hoya vs UD Águilas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Hoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
MIN
1 - 2
LAH
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
LAH
3 - 1
BUL
49%
24%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
HUR
2 - 8
LAH
16%
21%
64%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LAH
2 - 3
CIE
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
LAH
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Águilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
UDA
3 - 2
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ALQ
3 - 1
UDA
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
UDA
3 - 0
LOR
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CEU
5 - 3
UDA
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
UDA
2 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |