La Hoya vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Hoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
JAV
3 - 0
LAH
26%
25%
50%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
LAH
0 - 0
OLI
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 0
LAH
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LAH
2 - 3
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
LAH
2 - 0
CEU
31%
26%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
PUT
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ABA
4 - 3
JAV
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 4
ABA
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ABA
5 - 1
ALQ
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABA
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |