La Hoya vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Hoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
LAH
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LAH
2 - 1
CEU
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 3
LAH
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LAH
0 - 0
POZ
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MSM
2 - 0
LAH
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALQ
5 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PIN
0 - 2
ALQ
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALQ
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 1
CEU
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 0
ALQ
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |