Lorca FC vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 0
UCA
89%
9%
3%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
6 - 0
CDA
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAU
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
10%
22%
68%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MIN
3 - 1
LAU
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CIE
0 - 1
MIN
52%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHU
3 - 0
MIN
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
NUE
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |