Lorca FC vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
AGU
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
UDL
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LOR
3 - 1
CAP
90%
8%
3%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
LOR
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UCA
5 - 0
MIN
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UCA
1 - 1
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 1
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
UCA
0 - 3
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UCA
2 - 1
CHU
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |