Lorca FC vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BET
0 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 2
CAD
25%
27%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
LOR
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 2
CRD
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RJA
1 - 2
UCA
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 0
RJA
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 0
RJA
24%
30%
46%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |