Lorca FC vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
LOR
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
CDB
81%
12%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MSM
0 - 0
LOR
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 0
MIN
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PLU
0 - 0
BUL
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
PLU
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
4 - 0
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
PLU
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 0
IMP
23%
25%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |