Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Lorca FC vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LPA
1 - 2
LOR
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 4
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 3
BAL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CRD
0 - 1
LOR
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LPA
1 - 2
LOR
38%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UBC
2 - 2
LPA
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LPA
2 - 0
LAU
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
LPA
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LPA
1 - 1
LEG
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |