Lorca FC vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 0
ALB
31%
30%
40%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
GUA
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
MEL
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
MEL
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |