Lorca FC vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 0
CCF
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
4 - 1
LOR
74%
19%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 2
CDT
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
NUM
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OVI
3 - 2
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VAD
2 - 2
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |