Lorca FC vs Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 5
LOR
24%
23%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
MSM
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 1
LOR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 2
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MSM
1 - 0
ESP
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
ABA
36%
26%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 3
PUL
17%
23%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |