Lorca FC vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
5%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 3
LOR
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
0 - 1
CIE
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CIE
4 - 1
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
CIE
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CIE
6 - 0
JUM
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
CIE
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |