Lorca FC vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
LOR
15%
21%
65%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 2
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
MAR
8%
19%
73%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
ABA
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 2
UCA
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 0
ABA
78%
16%
6%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |