Lorca FC vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 3
LOR
13%
21%
67%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PLU
3 - 1
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
PUL
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 4
LOR
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
BUL
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAL
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
IMP
2 - 0
BAL
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |