Lorca FC vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LOR
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 2
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
CIE
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
0 - 1
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PLU
1 - 1
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |