Lorca FC vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EGP
0 - 2
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUM
2 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LOR
5 - 1
BUL
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
LOR
15%
21%
65%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
5 - 0
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
BUL
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
AGU
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 3
AGU
18%
25%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
IMP
47%
25%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |