Lorca FC vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
CIE
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 1
AGU
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
PIN
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 4
AGU
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 0
PLU
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 1
AGU
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |